April 20, 2021

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Analysis of North Korea’s test-fire of two ballistic missiles in the eastern waters: intended to increase bargaining chips in negotiations with the United States

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American experts said that North Korea’s second missile test in four days is also a response to the ongoing joint military exercises between the United States and South Korea. (Reuters)

Reuters reported that North Korea tested ballistic missiles on the same day as the torch transmission of the Tokyo Olympics

Reuters reported that North Korea tested ballistic missiles on the same day as the torch transmission of the Tokyo Olympics, which made the regional atmosphere before the Tokyo Olympics tense and put the new US government under greater pressure.

After testing two cruise missiles a few days ago, North Korea launched two more ballistic missiles into the eastern waters yesterday. This is the first time North Korea has tested a ballistic missile since the Biden administration of the United States took office. It also violated the UN Security Council resolution. Whether this move will attract more international sanctions has attracted much attention.

Han Jun said on Thursday that it was discovered that North Korea had fired short-range missiles into the eastern waters near Hamju in South Hamgyong Province at 7:06 and 7:25 in the morning. The aircraft has a range of about 450 kilometers and a firing height of about 60 kilometers. South Korean and American intelligence agencies are closely analyzing and judging which missile it launched and other specific details. The relevant person in the Korean army speculated that the North Korean launched a ballistic missile.

The missile fell near the Sea of ​​Japan, Japan has protested to North Korea

Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga confirmed that North Korea launched two ballistic missiles and the missiles fell near the Sea of ​​Japan. Japan has formally protested to the DPRK through its embassy in China.

Yoshihide Suga said: “These missile launches are the first in about a year and pose a threat to the peace and security of our country and the region. We are determined to work closely with the United States, South Korea and other related countries to fully protect the people.”

The Japan Coast Guard reported that “North Korea launched a suspected ballistic missile that fell outside the exclusive economic zone of Japan in the Sea of ​​Japan.”

Reuters reported that North Korea tested ballistic missiles on the same day as the torch transmission of the Tokyo Olympics, which made the regional atmosphere before the Tokyo Olympics tense and put the new US government under greater pressure.

CNN quoted a senior official as a report saying that if North Korea did launch a ballistic missile, it would be the North Korean launching another ballistic missile nearly a year after it claimed to have launched a “super-large rocket launcher” from Wonsan, Gangwon Province on March 29 last year.

North Korea just launched two short-range cruise missiles into the western waters of the peninsula on March 21. According to the South Korean military, since the Security Council resolution only bans ballistic missiles, North Korea’s move did not violate the Security Council resolution. If yesterday’s launch was really a ballistic missile, the situation would be different.

Cruise missiles are usually used as tactical weapons; ballistic missiles are mainly equipped with nuclear warheads and are used as strategic nuclear weapons.

Since 2006, North Korea has been subject to United Nations sanctions for its nuclear and ballistic missile programs. If North Korea’s test-fired ballistic missiles obviously violated the Security Council’s resolutions, the United States would have reason to impose additional sanctions on North Korea again.

Analysts generally believe that the recent continuous launch of missiles by North Korea is intended to increase the bargaining chip in negotiations with the United States.

Another analysis pointed out that Biden’s first press conference after taking office will be held on March 25. North Korea may be able to demonstrate its presence and put pressure on Biden’s government, so it will launch ballistic missiles after testing cruise missiles.

It is worth noting that North Korea seems to have begun to raise the level of provocation in stages on the eve of the recent visit of US Secretary of State Blincoln and Secretary of Defense Austin to South Korea.

Park Won-Kun, a professor in the Department of Korean Studies at Ewha Woman’s University, believes that North Korea may continue to increase the intensity of its provocations against the United States in the future. April 5th is the most important festival in North Korea, the “Sun Festival”, which is the birthday anniversary of the late supreme leader Kim Il-sung. I am afraid that North Korea will make another move around this day.

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